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A Control Function Approach to Estimating Dynamic Probit Models with Endogenous Regressorsa
Journal article   Peer reviewed

A Control Function Approach to Estimating Dynamic Probit Models with Endogenous Regressorsa

John Giles and Irina Murtazashvili
Journal of econometric methods, v 2(1)
01 Jul 2013

Abstract

migration rural China dynamic binary response models control function approach C13; C33; O15; P25 poverty-persistence
This paper proposes a parametric approach to estimating a dynamic binary response panel data model that allows for endogenous contemporaneous regressors. Such a model is of particular value for settings in which one wants to estimate the effects of an endogenous treatment on a binary outcome. In order to demonstrate the usefulness of the approach, we use it to examine the impact of rural-urban migration on the likelihood that households in rural China fall below the poverty line. In this application, it is shown that migration is important for reducing the likelihood that poor households remain in poverty and that non-poor households fall into poverty. Furthermore, it is demonstrated that failure to control for unobserved heterogeneity would lead the researcher to underestimate the impact of migrant labor markets on reducing the probability of falling into poverty.

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