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A Risk Algorithm for Assessing Short-Term Mortality for Obese Black and White Men and Women
Journal article   Open access   Peer reviewed

A Risk Algorithm for Assessing Short-Term Mortality for Obese Black and White Men and Women

Susan G. Lakoski, Himel Mallick, Leslie A. McClure, Monika Safford, Brett Kissela, George Howard and Mary Cushman
Obesity (Silver Spring, Md.), v 22(4), pp 1142-1148
01 Apr 2014
PMID: 24115735
url
https://europepmc.org/articles/pmc5036400View
Accepted (AM)Open Access (License Unspecified) Open
url
https://doi.org/10.1002/oby.20622View
Published, Version of Record (VoR) Open

Abstract

Endocrinology & Metabolism Life Sciences & Biomedicine Nutrition & Dietetics Science & Technology
Objective: To develop and validate a mortality risk algorithm for obese black and white men and women to elucidate risk factors prognostic of short-term mortality among obese persons. Methods: Prospective cohort study. Reasons for geographic and racial differences in stroke (REGARDS) study, is a cohort of black and white men and women aged >= 45 years. Obese (>= 30 kg m(-2)) participants in REGARDS (n=11 288) were randomly assigned to the derivation data set or an independent validation set. Results: During the mean follow-up period of 4.9 years, 8.9% (n=504) in the derivation cohort and 8.7% (n=492) in the validation cohort died. The best-fitting model based on data from the derivation cohort included demographic (age, sex), coronary heart disease (CHD) conditions (diabetes, systolic blood pressure, history of CHD), health behaviors (smoking, physical activity, alcohol use), and socioeconomic variables (income, use of physician services). The C-statistic when the model was applied to the validation cohort was 0.80. Observed and predicted rates of mortality were similar across deciles of mortality risk by race. Conclusions: A risk algorithm was established and validated to predict mortality among black and white obese subjects based on CHD risk factors, behavioral risk factors, and socioeconomic status.

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Collaboration types
Domestic collaboration
Web of Science research areas
Endocrinology & Metabolism
Nutrition & Dietetics
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