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Bayes' Theorem, Inflation, and the Ekpyrotic Universe
Journal article   Open access   Peer reviewed

Bayes' Theorem, Inflation, and the Ekpyrotic Universe

Joseph Wraga and David M Goldberg
Journal of cosmology and astroparticle physics, v 2022(4)
21 Jan 2022
url
https://arxiv.org/abs/2201.08844View

Abstract

We calculate the Bayesian evidences for a class of Ekpyrotic universe models, and compare with a model of single field inflation with a Higgs-type potential. Combining parsimony and observational constraints, this gives us a systematic way to evaluate the degree to which Ekpyrotic models are constrained by CMB data from Planck. We integrate the equations of motion numerically to define a likelihood using Planck 2018 data and sample this likelihood to obtain Bayesian evidences. Priors are justified and used to put Ekpyrotic models and inflation on equal footing. We find reasonable preference for one of the considered Ekpyrotic models over the others, but that even this one is disfavored compared with Higgs inflation.

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Web of Science research areas
Astronomy & Astrophysics
Physics, Particles & Fields
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