Journal article
Development of Land Use Regression Models for PM2.5, PM2.5 Absorbance, PM10 and PMcoarse in 20 European Study Areas; Results of the ESCAPE Project
Environmental science & technology, v 46(20), pp 11195-11205
16 Oct 2012
PMID: 22963366
Featured in Collection : UN Sustainable Development Goals @ Drexel
Abstract
Land Use Regression (LUR) models have been used increasingly for modeling small-scale spatial variation in air pollution concentrations and estimating individual exposure for participants of cohort studies. Within the ESCAPE project, concentrations of PM2.5, PM2.5 absorbance, PM10, and PMcoarse were measured in 20 European study areas at 20 sites per area. GIS-derived predictor variables (e.g., traffic intensity, population, and land-use) were evaluated to model spatial variation of annual average concentrations for each study area. The median model explained variance (R-2) was 71% for PM2.5 (range across study areas 35-94%). Model R-2 was higher for PM2.5 absorbance (median 89%, range 56-97%) and lower for PMcoarse (median 68%, range 32-81%). Models included between two and five predictor variables, with various traffic indicators as the most common predictors. Lower R-2 was related to small concentration variability or limited availability of predictor variables, especially traffic intensity. Cross validation R-2 results were on average 8-11% lower than model R-2. Careful selection of monitoring sites, examination of influential observations and skewed variable distributions were essential for developing stable LUR models. The final LUR models are used to estimate air pollution concentrations at the home addresses of participants in the health studies involved in ESCAPE.
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Details
- Title
- Development of Land Use Regression Models for PM2.5, PM2.5 Absorbance, PM10 and PMcoarse in 20 European Study Areas; Results of the ESCAPE Project
- Creators
- Marloes Eeftens - Utrecht UniversityRob Beelen - Utrecht UniversityKees de Hoogh - Imperial College LondonTom Bellander - Karolinska InstitutetGiulia Cesaroni - Epidemiology Department, Lazio Regional Health Service, Rome, ItalyMarta Cirach - Center for Research in Environmental EpidemiologyChristophe Declercq - Institut de Veille SanitaireAudrius Dedele - Vytautas Magnus UniversityEvi Dons - Hasselt UniversityAudrey de Nazelle - Center for Research in Environmental EpidemiologyKonstantina Dimakopoulou - National and Kapodistrian University of AthensKirsten Eriksen - Danish Cancer SocietyGregoire Falq - Institut de Veille SanitairePaul Fischer - National Institute for Public Health and the EnvironmentClaudia Galassi - Azienda Ospedaliero Universitaria San Giovanni BattistaRegina Grazuleviciene - Vytautas Magnus UniversityJoachim Heinrich - HMGU Institute of Epidemiology I, Neuherberg, GermanyBarbara Hoffmann - Leibniz Institute of Environmental MedicineMichael Jerrett - University of California, BerkeleyDirk Keidel - Swiss Tropical and Public Health InstituteMichal Korek - Karolinska InstitutetTimo Lanki - Finnish Institute for Health and WelfareSarah Lindley - University of ManchesterChristian Madsen - Norwegian Institute of Public HealthAnna Moelter - University of ManchesterGizella Nador - Orszagos Kornyezetegeszsegugyi IntezetMark Nieuwenhuijsen - Center for Research in Environmental EpidemiologyMichael Nonnemacher - University of Duisburg-EssenXanthi Pedeli - National and Kapodistrian University of AthensOle Raaschou-Nielsen - Danish Cancer SocietyEvridiki Patelarou - University of CreteUlrich Quass - Institut für Energie- und UmwelttechnikAndrea Ranzi - Agenzia Regionale Prevenzione e Ambiente della Regione Emilia-RomagnaChristian Schindler - Swiss Tropical and Public Health InstituteMorgane Stempfelet - Institut de Veille SanitaireEuripides Stephanou - University of WashingtonDorothea Sugiri - IUF Leibniz Res Inst Environm Med, Dusseldorf, GermanyMing-Yi Tsai - University of WashingtonTarja Yli-Tuomi - Finnish Institute for Health and WelfareMihaly J. Varro - Orszagos Kornyezetegeszsegugyi IntezetDanielle Vienneau - Imperial College LondonStephanie von Klot - HMGU Institute of Epidemiology II, Neuherberg, GermanyKathrin Wolf - HMGU Institute of Epidemiology II, Neuherberg, GermanyBert Brunekreef - University Medical Center UtrechtGerard Hoek - Utrecht University
- Publication Details
- Environmental science & technology, v 46(20), pp 11195-11205
- Publisher
- American Chemical Society; Washington, DC
- Number of pages
- 11
- Grant note
- 211250 / European Community; European Commission
- Resource Type
- Journal article
- Language
- English
- Academic Unit
- Microbiology and Immunology
- Web of Science ID
- WOS:000309805000045
- Scopus ID
- 2-s2.0-84870013865
- Other Identifier
- 991020099272904721
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- Collaboration types
- Domestic collaboration
- International collaboration
- Web of Science research areas
- Engineering, Environmental
- Environmental Sciences