Published, Version of Record (VoR)CC BY V4.0, Open
Abstract
Environmental Sciences Environmental Sciences & Ecology Life Sciences & Biomedicine Science & Technology Water Resources Physical Sciences
This paper presents a new non-parametric, synthetic rainfall generator for use in hourly water resource simulations. Historic continuous precipitation time series are discretized into sequences of dry and wet events separated by an inter-event dry period at least equal to four hours. A first-order Markov Chain model is then used to generate synthetic sequences of alternating wet and dry events. Sequential events in the synthetic series are selected based on couplings of historic wet and dry events, using nearest neighbor and moving window methods. The new generator is used to generate synthetic sequences of rainfall for New York (NY), Syracuse (NY), and Miami (FL) using over 50 years of observations. Monthly precipitation differences (e.g., seasonality) are well represented in the synthetic series generated for all three cities. The synthetic New York results are also shown to reproduce realistic event sequences proved by a deep event-based analysis.
Upmanu Lall - Columbia Univ, Dept Earth & Environm Engn, New York, NY 10027 USA
Publication Details
Water (Basel), v 11(8), 1728
Publisher
Mdpi
Number of pages
14
Grant note
NA15OAR4310147 / National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Supporting Regional Implementation of Integrated Climate Resilience: Consortium for Climate Risks in the Urban Northeast (CCRUN) Phase II*
Resource Type
Journal article
Language
English
Academic Unit
Civil, Architectural, and Environmental Engineering; Center for Public Policy; Family (Community and Preventive) Medicine
Web of Science ID
WOS:000484561500201
Scopus ID
2-s2.0-85071114810
Other Identifier
991019167581604721
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