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Dynamic correlation analysis of financial contagion: Evidence from Asian markets
Journal article   Open access   Peer reviewed

Dynamic correlation analysis of financial contagion: Evidence from Asian markets

Thomas C. Chiang, Bang Nam Jeon and Huimin Li
Journal of international money and finance, v 26(7), pp 1206-1228
01 Nov 2007
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Accepted (AM) Open Access

Abstract

Asian crises Dynamic conditional correlation Financial contagion Herding Sovereign credit rating
We apply a dynamic conditional-correlation model to nine Asian daily stock-return data series from 1990 to 2003. The empirical evidence confirms a contagion effect. By analyzing the correlation-coefficient series, we identify two phases of the Asian crisis. The first shows an increase in correlation (contagion); the second shows a continued high correlation (herding). Statistical analysis of the correlation coefficients also finds a shift in variance during the crisis period, casting doubt on the benefit of international portfolio diversification. Evidence shows that international sovereign credit-rating agencies play a significant role in shaping the structure of dynamic correlations in the Asian markets.

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Domestic collaboration
Web of Science research areas
Business, Finance
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