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Dynamics of oil price, precious metal prices, and exchange rate
Journal article   Open access   Peer reviewed

Dynamics of oil price, precious metal prices, and exchange rate

Ramazan Sari, Shawkat Hammoudeh and Ugur Soytas
Energy economics, v 32(2), pp 351-362
2010
url
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2009.08.010View
Published, Version of Record (VoR) Open

Abstract

Oil prices Generalized impulse responses Precious metal prices Generalized variance decompositions ARDL
This study examines the co-movements and information transmission among the spot prices of four precious metals (gold, silver, platinum, and palladium), oil price, and the US dollar/euro exchange rate. We find evidence of a weak long-run equilibrium relationship but strong feedbacks in the short run. The spot precious metal markets respond significantly (but temporarily) to a shock in any of the prices of the other metal prices and the exchange rate. Furthermore, we discover some evidence of market overreactions in the palladium and platinum cases as well as in the exchange rate market. In conclusion, whether there are overreactions and re-adjustments or not, investors may diversify at least a portion of the risk away by investing in precious metals, oil, and the euro. Policy implications are provided.

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Web of Science research areas
Economics
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