Journal article
Election worry, political identity, and subsequent physical health in the United States
SSM - mental health, v 8, 100476
Dec 2025
Featured in Collection : UN Sustainable Development Goals @ Drexel
Abstract
Political polarization surrounding elections may have population-level physical health consequences over time. Given that psychological distress is associated with worse physical health, heightened election-related worry (a.k.a. election worry) may have negative physical health implications for the U.S. population. We assessed the prospective association between worry about the 2020 presidential election and new onset physical health ailments over the subsequent 3 years in a nationally representative U.S. sample (N = 4,311) and examined differences by political identity. Our longitudinal cohort study used the probability-based NORC AmeriSpeak Panel. Baseline physician-diagnosed mental and physical health conditions, smoking, political identity, and demographics were assessed pre-2020, with new-onset physical health ailments (e.g., heart problems, cancer, stroke) reassessed in Spring 2022 and Summer 2023. Election worry was measured in September–October 2020; political identity and demographics were updated Fall 2021. Adjusting for demographics, baseline health conditions, smoking, health insurance coverage, and prior mental health diagnosis, each one-unit increase in 2020 election worry was associated with 12% higher odds of developing any new-onset physical health ailments (OR = 1.12, 95% CI[1.01, 1.24], p = .026) over the subsequent 3 years. This association was significantly stronger for Republicans compared to Democrats (OR = 1.28, 95% CI[1.01, 1.62], p = .038). These findings suggest that election worry may be a social determinant of health with measurable physical health consequences, particularly among those whose political party loses the election. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for developing interventions to mitigate the health impacts of political stress in an increasingly polarized society.
•Longitudinal probability-based nationally representative study in U.S. 2020–2023.•2020 election worry predicts higher odds of new physical health ailments 3 yrs later.•This association was stronger for Republicans than Democrats.•Democrats report more 2024 election worry than Republicans and Independents.•Growing worry over U.S. elections may undermine subsequent physical health.
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Details
- Title
- Election worry, political identity, and subsequent physical health in the United States
- Creators
- Daniel P. Relihan - University of California, IrvineKayley D. Estes - University of California, IrvineBranislav Jovanovic - Drexel University, Psychological and Brain Sciences (Psychology)Dana Rose Garfin - University of California, Los AngelesRoxane Cohen Silver - University of California, IrvineE. Alison Holman (Corresponding Author) - University of California, Irvine
- Publication Details
- SSM - mental health, v 8, 100476
- Publisher
- Elsevier
- Resource Type
- Journal article
- Language
- English
- Academic Unit
- Psychological and Brain Sciences (Psychology)
- Web of Science ID
- WOS:001551990900001
- Scopus ID
- 2-s2.0-105011476010
- Other Identifier
- 991022189365404721
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- Collaboration types
- Domestic collaboration
- Web of Science research areas
- Psychiatry
- Public, Environmental & Occupational Health