Logo image
Empirical constrained Bayes predictors accounting for non-detects among repeated measures
Journal article   Open access   Peer reviewed

Empirical constrained Bayes predictors accounting for non-detects among repeated measures

Reneé H Moore, Robert H Lyles and Amita K Manatunga
Statistics in medicine, v 29(25), pp 2656-2668
10 Nov 2010
PMID: 20809486
url
https://europepmc.org/articles/pmc3108454View
Accepted (AM)Open Access (License Unspecified) Open

Abstract

Bayes Theorem Computer Simulation Data Interpretation, Statistical Disease Progression Dust Epidemiologic Research Design Female HIV Infections - epidemiology Humans Linear Models Lung Diseases - epidemiology Lung Diseases - etiology Occupational Exposure - adverse effects Occupational Exposure - statistics & numerical data Prognosis Respiratory Tract Diseases - epidemiology Respiratory Tract Diseases - etiology
When the prediction of subject-specific random effects is of interest, constrained Bayes predictors (CB) have been shown to reduce the shrinkage of the widely accepted Bayes predictor while still maintaining desirable properties, such as optimizing mean-square error subsequent to matching the first two moments of the random effects of interest. However, occupational exposure and other epidemiologic (e.g. HIV) studies often present a further challenge because data may fall below the measuring instrument's limit of detection. Although methodology exists in the literature to compute Bayes estimates in the presence of non-detects (Bayes(ND)), CB methodology has not been proposed in this setting. By combining methodologies for computing CBs and Bayes(ND), we introduce two novel CBs that accommodate an arbitrary number of observable and non-detectable measurements per subject. Based on application to real data sets (e.g. occupational exposure, HIV RNA) and simulation studies, these CB predictors are markedly superior to the Bayes predictor and to alternative predictors computed using ad hoc methods in terms of meeting the goal of matching the first two moments of the true random effects distribution.

Metrics

5 Record Views
2 citations in Scopus

Details

UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

This publication has contributed to the advancement of the following goals:

#3 Good Health and Well-Being

InCites Highlights

Data related to this publication, from InCites Benchmarking & Analytics tool:

Collaboration types
Domestic collaboration
Web of Science research areas
Mathematical & Computational Biology
Medical Informatics
Medicine, Research & Experimental
Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
Statistics & Probability
Logo image