Logo image
Evidence of Economic Policy Uncertainty and COVID-19 Pandemic on Global Stock Returns
Journal article   Open access   Peer reviewed

Evidence of Economic Policy Uncertainty and COVID-19 Pandemic on Global Stock Returns

Thomas Chinan Chiang
Journal of risk and financial management, v 15(1), pp 1-24
01 Jan 2022
url
https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm15010028View
Published, Version of Record (VoR)CC BY V4.0 Open

Abstract

Business & Economics Business, Finance Social Sciences
This paper examines the impact of changes in economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and COVID-19 shock on stock returns. Tests of 16 global stock market indices, using monthly data from January 1990 to August 2021, suggest a negative relation between the stock return and a country's EPU. Evidence suggests that a rise in the U.S. EPU causes not only a decline in a country's stock return, but also a negative spillover effect on the global market; however, we cannot find a comparable negative effect from global EPU to U.S. stocks. Evidence suggests that the COVID-19 pandemic has a negative impact that significantly affects stock return worldwide. This study also finds an indirect COVID-19 impact that runs through a change in domestic EPU and, in turn, affects stock return. Evidence shows significant COVID-19 effects that change relative stock returns between the U.S. and global markets, creating a decoupling phenomenon.

Metrics

8 Record Views
23 citations in Scopus

Details

UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

This publication has contributed to the advancement of the following goals:

#8 Decent Work and Economic Growth

InCites Highlights

Data related to this publication, from InCites Benchmarking & Analytics tool:

Web of Science research areas
Business, Finance
Logo image