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Evidence of Energy-Related Uncertainties and Changes in Oil Prices on U.S. Sectoral Stock Markets
Journal article   Open access   Peer reviewed

Evidence of Energy-Related Uncertainties and Changes in Oil Prices on U.S. Sectoral Stock Markets

Fu-Lai Lin, Thomas Chi-Nan Chiang and Yu-Fen Chen
Mathematics, v 13(11), 1823
29 May 2025
Featured in Collection :   Research Supported by Drexel Libraries' OA Programs
url
https://doi.org/10.3390/math13111823View
Published, Version of Record (VoR)Open Access Discount via Drexel Libraries Read and Publish Program 2025CC BY V4.0 Open

Abstract

uncertainty hypothesis energy uncertainties sectoral stock returns climate policy uncertainty oil prices
This study examines the relationship between stock prices, energy prices, and climate policy uncertainty using 11 sectoral stocks in the U.S. market. The evidence confirms that rising prices of energy commodities positively affect not only the energy and oil sector stocks but also create spillover effects across other sectors. Notably, all sectoral stocks, except Real Estate sector, show resilience to increases in crude oil and gasoline, suggesting potential hedging benefits. In addition, the findings reveal that sectoral stock returns are generally negatively affected by several types of uncertainty, including climate policy uncertainty, economic policy uncertainty, oil price uncertainty, as well as energy and environmental regulation-induced equity market volatility and the energy uncertainty index. These adverse effects are present across sectors, with few exceptions. The evidence reveals that the feedback effect between changes in climate policy uncertainty and changes in oil prices has an adverse impact on stock returns. Omitting these uncertainty factors from analyses could lead to biased estimates in the relationship between stock prices and energy prices.

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Web of Science research areas
Mathematics
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