lung cancer machine learning staging C-index survival
Expanding the tumor, lymph node, metastasis (TNM) staging system by accommodating new prognostic and predictive factors for cancer will improve patient stratification and survival prediction. Here, we introduce machine learning for incorporating additional prognostic factors into the conventional TNM for stratifying patients with lung cancer and evaluating survival.
Data were extracted from SEER. A total of 77 953 patients were analyzed using factors including primary tumor (T), regional lymph node (N), distant metastasis (M), age, and histology type. Ensemble algorithm for clustering cancer data (EACCD) and C-index were applied to generate prognostic groups and expand the current staging system.
With T, N, and M, EACCD stratified patients into 11 groups, resulting in a significantly higher accuracy in survival prediction than the 10 AJCC stages (C-index = 0.7346 vs. 0.7247, increase in C-index = 0.0099, 95% CI: 0.0091-0.0106, p-value = 9.2 × 10
). There nevertheless remained a strong association between the EACCD grouping and AJCC staging (rank correlation = 0.9289; p-value = 6.7 × 10
). A further analysis demonstrated that age and histological tumor could be integrated with the TNM. Data were stratified into 12 prognostic groups with an even higher prediction accuracy (C-index = 0.7468 vs. 0.7247, increase in C-index = 0.0221, 95% CI: 0.0212-0.0231, p-value <5 × 10
).
EACCD can be successfully applied to integrate additional factors with T, N, M for lung cancer patients.
Expanding TNM for lung cancer through machine learning
Creators
Matthew Hueman - Walter Reed National Military Medical Center
Huan Wang - George Washington University
Zhenqiu Liu - Penn State Cancer Institute
Donald Henson - Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences
Cuong Nguyen - Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences
Dean Park - Walter Reed National Military Medical Center
Li Sheng - Drexel University
Dechang Chen - Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences
Publication Details
Thoracic cancer, v 12(9), pp 1423-1430
Publisher
Wiley
Grant note
Using Dendrograms to Create Prognostic Systems / John P. Murtha Cancer Center Research Program
Four Diamonds Fund from Penn State University / Pennsylvania State University
Resource Type
Journal article
Language
English
Academic Unit
Mathematics
Web of Science ID
WOS:000628345200001
Scopus ID
2-s2.0-85102469373
Other Identifier
991019169703804721
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