Hybrid land use regression modeling for estimating spatio-temporal exposures to PM2.5, BC, and metal components across a metropolitan area of complex terrain and industrial sources
Sheila Tripathy, Brett J. Tunno, Drew R. Michanowicz, Ellen Kinnee, Jessie L. C. Shmool, Sara Gillooly and Jane E. Clougherty
The Science of the total environment, v 673, pp 54-63
Land use regression (LUR) modeling has become a common method for predicting pollutant concentrations and assigning exposure estimates in epidemiological studies. However, few LUR models have been developed for metal constituents of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) or have incorporated source-specific dispersion covariates in locations with major point sources. We developed hybrid AERMOD LUR models for PM2.5, black carbon (BC), and steel-related PM2.5 constituents lead, manganese, iron, and zinc, using fine-scale air pollution data from 37 sites across the Pittsburgh area. These models were designed with the aim of developing exposure estimates for time periods of interest in epidemiology studies. We found that the hybrid LUR models explained greater variability in PM2.5 (R-2 = 0.79) compared to BC (R-2 = 0.59) and metal constituents (R-2 = 0.34-0.55). Approximately 70% of variation in PM2.5 was attributable to temporal variance, compared to 36% for BC, and 17-26% for metals. An AERMOD dispersion covariate developed using PM2.5 industrial emissions data for 207 sources was significant in PM2.5 and BC models; all metals models contained a steel mill-specific PM2.5 emissions AERMOD term. Other significant covariates included industrial land use, commercial and industrial land use, percent impervious surface, and summed railroad length. (C) 2019 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.
Hybrid land use regression modeling for estimating spatio-temporal exposures to PM2.5, BC, and metal components across a metropolitan area of complex terrain and industrial sources
Creators
Sheila Tripathy - University of Pittsburgh
Brett J. Tunno - University of Pittsburgh
Drew R. Michanowicz - University of Pittsburgh
Ellen Kinnee - University of Pittsburgh
Jessie L. C. Shmool - University of Pittsburgh
Sara Gillooly - University of Pittsburgh
Jane E. Clougherty - University of Pittsburgh
Publication Details
The Science of the total environment, v 673, pp 54-63
Publisher
Elsevier
Number of pages
10
Grant note
Heinz Endowments
University of Pittsburgh Graduate School of Public Health Department of Environmental and Occupational Health internal funds
Resource Type
Journal article
Language
English
Academic Unit
Environmental and Occupational Health
Web of Science ID
WOS:000466418300007
Scopus ID
2-s2.0-85064082808
Other Identifier
991019167699304721
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