Journal article
Impacts of global and domestic shocks on inflation and economic growth for actual and potential GCC member countries
International review of economics & finance, v 27, pp 298-317
01 Jun 2013
Featured in Collection : UN Sustainable Development Goals @ Drexel
Abstract
By using a modern structural VAR with block exogeneity and identifying restrictions, this paper analyzes several global and regional oil and macroeconomic relationships related to the selected incumbent GCC member countries - Kuwait, Oman, Saudi Arabia - and the potential member Jordan. First, it examines the global macroeconomic linkages among the dollar exchange rate, oil price, China's producer price, U.S.'s export price, EU's export price and Japan's export price. Second, it investigates the effects of global and country-specific shocks on the industrial production and consumer price indices of these GCC member countries and the potential member Jordan. It thereby examines which individual global/local shocks command more importance in explaining the variations in the economic growth and inflation of each actual and potential GCC member. Third, it analyzes the similarities in economic growth and inflation among the GCC countries after controlling for different global and country-specific shocks. The results suggest that the overall CPI inflation rates of Kuwait, Oman, Saudi Arabia and Jordan are highly and positively correlated. The economic growth of Jordan shows negative correlations with those of the member countries. If the GCC members are to focus only on stabilizing inflation, there is no harm for them to accept Jordan as a new GCC member. However, if the GCC's objective is not only the stabilization of inflation but also the business cycle synchronization, the GCC members should be more cautious in accepting Jordan as a new member. (C) 2012 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
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Details
- Title
- Impacts of global and domestic shocks on inflation and economic growth for actual and potential GCC member countries
- Creators
- Won Joong Kim - Konkuk UniversityShawkat Hammoudeh - LeBow College of Business, Drexel University, United States.
- Publication Details
- International review of economics & finance, v 27, pp 298-317
- Publisher
- Elsevier
- Number of pages
- 20
- Resource Type
- Journal article
- Language
- English
- Academic Unit
- Economics (School of Economics)
- Web of Science ID
- WOS:000318580600024
- Scopus ID
- 2-s2.0-84876321912
- Other Identifier
- 991019167867704721
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- Collaboration types
- Domestic collaboration
- International collaboration
- Web of Science research areas
- Business, Finance
- Economics