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Interactions between real economic and financial sides of the US economy in a regime-switching environment
Journal article   Open access   Peer reviewed

Interactions between real economic and financial sides of the US economy in a regime-switching environment

Soodabeh Sarafrazi, Shawkat Hammoudeh and Mehmet Balcilar
Applied economics, v 47(60), pp 6493-6518
26 Dec 2015
url
http://hdl.handle.net/2263/52877View

Abstract

Bayesian MCMC method FSI real and financial sectors regime-dependent impulse VIX
This objective of this study is to examine the linkages between real (economic) and financial variables in the United States in a regime-switching environment that accounts explicitly for high volatility in the stock market and high stress in financial markets. Since the linearity test shows that the linear model should be rejected, we employ the Markov-switching VECM to examine the same objective using the Bayesian Markov-chain Monte Carlo method. The regime-dependent impulse response function (RDIRF) highlights the increasing importance of the financial sector of the economy during stress periods. The responses and their fluctuations are significantly greater in the high-volatility regime than in the low-volatility regime.

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Collaboration types
Domestic collaboration
International collaboration
Web of Science research areas
Economics
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