Logo image
Macroinvertebrates on the front lines: projected community response to temperature and precipitation changes in Mediterranean streams
Journal article   Open access   Peer reviewed

Macroinvertebrates on the front lines: projected community response to temperature and precipitation changes in Mediterranean streams

Stefanie A. Kroll, Neil H. Ringler, Maria de la Cruz Cano Costa and Jorge De las Heras Ibanez
Journal of freshwater ecology, v 32(1), pp 513-528
01 Jan 2017
url
https://doi.org/10.1080/02705060.2017.1349695View
Published, Version of Record (VoR)CC BY V4.0 Open

Abstract

Ecology Environmental Sciences & Ecology Life Sciences & Biomedicine Limnology Marine & Freshwater Biology Science & Technology
As temperatures rise and precipitation patterns change, approaches are needed for early detection of the effects on ecosystems. Macroinvertebrate data collected from 81 sites with multiple habitat kick sampling were compiled for this study. We used a binary logistic regression model to predict the probability of local extinction or range expansion of aquatic macroinvertebrates with changes in temperature and precipitation in watersheds of Castilla-La Mancha, Spain. Aquatic insect families from the following orders were found to be sensitive to an increase in average spring temperatures: Ephemeroptera, Plecoptera, Megaloptera, Trichoptera, Coleoptera and Diptera. Taxa in Ephemeroptera, Trichoptera, Hemiptera and Coleoptera showed negative relationships with minimum (winter) temperature, maximum spring temperature and/or precipitation. One mayfly, Caenis, exhibited a positive relationship with minimum temperature. These results indicate that these aquatic communities are expected to change significantly in the short-term, with the potential to alter stream ecosystem functioning. Mediterranean ecosystems are considered biodiversity hotspots, and biotic communities in freshwater habitats in these areas may be particularly vulnerable to projected increases in temperature and decreases in precipitation. The ability of taxa to withstand these changes will depend on resistance, resilience and dispersal capabilities of the aquatic macroinvertebrates as well as available habitat.

Metrics

6 Record Views
10 citations in Scopus

Details

UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

This publication has contributed to the advancement of the following goals:

#14 Life Below Water
#15 Life on Land

InCites Highlights

Data related to this publication, from InCites Benchmarking & Analytics tool:

Collaboration types
Domestic collaboration
International collaboration
Web of Science research areas
Ecology
Limnology
Logo image