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Method for Testing Etiologic Heterogeneity Among Non-Competing Diagnoses, Applied to Impact of Perinatal Exposures on Autism and Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder
Journal article   Open access   Peer reviewed

Method for Testing Etiologic Heterogeneity Among Non-Competing Diagnoses, Applied to Impact of Perinatal Exposures on Autism and Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder

Amy E. Kalkbrenner, Cheng Zheng, Justin Yu, Tara E. Jenson, Thomas Kuhlwein, Christine Ladd-Acosta, Jakob Grove and Diana Schendel
Epidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.), v 35(5), pp 689-700
Sep 2024
url
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11309336View
Published, Version of Record (VoR)Open Access (License Unspecified) Open
url
https://doi.org/10.1097/EDE.0000000000001760View
Published, Version of Record (VoR) Open

Abstract

Attention deficit hyperactivity disorder Codiagnosis Etiologic heterogeneity Neurodevelopment Smoking in pregnancy Urban residence Autism
Background: Testing etiologic heterogeneity – whether a disorder subtype is more or less impacted by a risk factor, is important for understanding causal pathways and optimizing statistical power. The study of mental health disorders especially benefits from strategic sub-categorization because these disorders are heterogenous and frequently co-occur. Existing methods to quantify etiologic heterogeneity are not appropriate for non-competing events in an open cohort of variable-length follow-up. Thus, we developed a new method. Methods: We estimated risks from urban residence, maternal smoking during pregnancy, and parental psychiatric history, with subtypes defined by the presence or absence of a co-diagnosis: autism alone, attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) alone, and joint diagnoses of autism+ADHD. To calculate the risk of a single diagnosis (e.g. autism alone), we subtracted the risk for autism+ADHD from the risk for autism overall. We tested the equivalency of average risk ratios over time, using a Wald-type test and bootstrapped standard errors. Results: Urban residence was most strongly linked with autism+ADHD and least with ADHD only; maternal smoking was associated with ADHD only but not autism only; and parental psychiatric history exhibited similar associations with all subgroups. Conclusions: Our method allowed the calculation of appropriate p values to test strength of association, informing etiologic heterogeneity wherein two of these three risk factors exhibited different impacts across diagnostic subtypes. The method used all available data, avoided neurodevelopmental outcome misclassification, exhibited robust statistical precision, and is applicable to similar heterogeneous complex conditions using common diagnostic data with variable follow-up.

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Collaboration types
Domestic collaboration
International collaboration
Web of Science research areas
Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
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