Journal article
Multicohort model for prevalence estimation of advanced malignant melanoma in the USA: an increasing public health concern
Melanoma research, v 22(6), pp 454-459
01 Dec 2012
PMID: 22990665
Featured in Collection : UN Sustainable Development Goals @ Drexel
Abstract
The aim of the study was to estimate the current prevalence of advanced cutaneous malignant melanoma in 2010 in the USA and to project prevalence estimates to the year 2015. An excel-based, multicohort natural disease history model was developed. It used incidence, recurrence, all-cause mortality, and US population data from the up-to-date surveillance, epidemiology, and end results program, the US census, and the literature. The prevalence was stratified by tumor stage, sex, and age. The model estimated that there were 800 735 malignant melanoma cases (258 per 100 000 individuals) in the USA in 2010, of which 10.4% were in advanced stages including stage III (22 per 100 000 individuals) and stage IV (four per 100 000 individuals). Among these advanced cases, 58.8% were men. In total, 42.1% of patients with advanced malignant melanoma were 65 years of age and older. Of these elderly patients with an advanced stage of the disease, 65.7% were men. The total number of cases and number of advanced cases were projected to increase from 2010 to 2015 by 24.4 and 21.0%, respectively. There will be approximately one million malignant melanoma cases (306 per 100 000 individuals) in the USA in 2015. The prevalence of advanced malignant melanoma is expected to increase in the next few years. Advanced malignant melanoma disproportionately affects men and the elderly in the USA. Melanoma Res 22:454-459 (C) 2012 Wolters Kluwer Health | Lippincott Williams & Wilkins.
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Details
- Title
- Multicohort model for prevalence estimation of advanced malignant melanoma in the USA: an increasing public health concern
- Creators
- Amy Y. Lin - Drexel UniversityPeter F. Wang - GlaxoSmithKline R&D, US Hlth Outcomes Oncol, Philadelphia, PA USAHaojie Li - GlaxoSmithKline R&D, Worldwide Epidemiol Oncol, Collegeville, PA USAJennifer A. Kolker - Drexel University
- Publication Details
- Melanoma research, v 22(6), pp 454-459
- Publisher
- Lippincott Williams & Wilkins
- Number of pages
- 6
- Resource Type
- Journal article
- Language
- English
- Academic Unit
- Urban Health Collaborative; Health Management and Policy
- Web of Science ID
- WOS:000310791700008
- Scopus ID
- 2-s2.0-84869497895
- Other Identifier
- 991019168690904721
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- Collaboration types
- Industry collaboration
- Domestic collaboration
- Web of Science research areas
- Dermatology
- Medicine, Research & Experimental
- Oncology