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Psychological intervention in individuals with subthreshold depression: individual participant data meta-analysis of treatment effects and moderators
Journal article   Peer reviewed

Psychological intervention in individuals with subthreshold depression: individual participant data meta-analysis of treatment effects and moderators

Mathias Harrer, Antonia A Sprenger, Susan Illing, Marcel C Adriaanse, Steven M Albert, Esther Allart, Osvaldo P Almeida, Julian Basanovic, Kim M P van Bastelaar, Philip J Batterham, …
British journal of psychiatry, pp 1-14
14 May 2025
PMID: 40365980
url
https://doi.org/10.1192/bjp.2025.56View
Published, Version of Record (VoR) Open

Abstract

precision medicine depressive disorders psychological treatments prevention Meta-analysis
It remains unclear which individuals with subthreshold depression benefit most from psychological intervention, and what long-term effects this has on symptom deterioration, response and remission. To synthesise psychological intervention benefits in adults with subthreshold depression up to 2 years, and explore participant-level effect-modifiers. Randomised trials comparing psychological intervention with inactive control were identified via systematic search. Authors were contacted to obtain individual participant data (IPD), analysed using Bayesian one-stage meta-analysis. Treatment-covariate interactions were added to examine moderators. Hierarchical-additive models were used to explore treatment benefits conditional on baseline Patient Health Questionnaire 9 (PHQ-9) values. IPD of 10 671 individuals (50 studies) could be included. We found significant effects on depressive symptom severity up to 12 months (standardised mean-difference [s.m.d.] = -0.48 to -0.27). Effects could not be ascertained up to 24 months (s.m.d. = -0.18). Similar findings emerged for 50% symptom reduction (relative risk = 1.27-2.79), reliable improvement (relative risk = 1.38-3.17), deterioration (relative risk = 0.67-0.54) and close-to-symptom-free status (relative risk = 1.41-2.80). Among participant-level moderators, only initial depression and anxiety severity were highly credible ( > 0.99). Predicted treatment benefits decreased with lower symptom severity but remained minimally important even for very mild symptoms (s.m.d. = -0.33 for PHQ-9 = 5). Psychological intervention reduces the symptom burden in individuals with subthreshold depression up to 1 year, and protects against symptom deterioration. Benefits up to 2 years are less certain. We find strong support for intervention in subthreshold depression, particularly with PHQ-9 scores ≥ 10. For very mild symptoms, scalable treatments could be an attractive option.

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Web of Science research areas
Psychiatry
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