Risk stratification of ER-positive breast cancer patients: A multi-institutional validation and outcome study of the Rochester Modified Magee algorithm (RoMMa) and prediction of an Oncotype DX ® recurrence score <26
Bradley M Turner, Mary Ann Gimenez-Sanders, Armen Soukiazian, Andrea C Breaux, Kristin Skinner, Michelle Shayne, Nyrie Soukiazian, Marilyn Ling and David G Hicks
Cancer medicine (Malden, MA), v 8(9), pp 4176-4188
Published, Version of Record (VoR)CC BY V4.0, Open
Abstract
Adult Aged Aged, 80 and over Biomarkers, Tumor - genetics Breast Neoplasms - diagnosis Breast Neoplasms - genetics Breast Neoplasms - metabolism Early Detection of Cancer - economics Female Genetic Predisposition to Disease Humans Middle Aged Neoplasm Recurrence, Local - diagnosis Neoplasm Recurrence, Local - genetics Neoplasm Recurrence, Local - metabolism Receptors, Estrogen - metabolism Algorithms
The skyrocketing cost of health-care demands that we question when to use multigene assay testing in the planning of treatment for breast cancer patients. A previously published algorithmic model gave recommendations for which cases to send out for Oncotype DX (ODX) testing. This study is a multi-institutional validation of that algorithmic model in 620 additional estrogen receptor positive breast cancer cases, with outcome data on 310 cases, named in this study as the Rochester Modified Magee algorithm (RoMMa). RoMMa correctly predicted 85% (140/164) and 100% (17/17) of cases to have a low- or high-risk ODX recurrence score, respectively, consistent with the original publication. Applying our own risk stratification criteria, in patients who received appropriate hormonal therapy, only one of the 45 (2.0%) patients classified as low risk by our original algorithm have been associated with a breast cancer recurrence over 5-10 years of follow-up. Eight of 116 (7.0%) patients classified as low risk by ODX have been associated with a breast cancer recurrence with up to 11 years of follow-up. In addition, 524 of 537 (98%) cases from our total population (n = 903) with an average modified Magee score ≤18 had an ODX recurrence score <26. Patients with an average modified Magee score ≤18 or >30 may not need to be sent out for ODX testing. By avoiding these cases sending out for ODX testing, the potential cost savings to the health-care system in 2018 are estimated to have been over $100,000,000.
Risk stratification of ER-positive breast cancer patients: A multi-institutional validation and outcome study of the Rochester Modified Magee algorithm (RoMMa) and prediction of an Oncotype DX ® recurrence score <26
Creators
Bradley M Turner - University of Rochester
Mary Ann Gimenez-Sanders - University of Louisville
Armen Soukiazian - University of Rochester
Andrea C Breaux - University of Louisville
Kristin Skinner - University of Rochester Medical Center
Michelle Shayne - University of Rochester
Nyrie Soukiazian - Drexel University
Marilyn Ling - University of Rochester
David G Hicks - Roswell Park Cancer Institute
Publication Details
Cancer medicine (Malden, MA), v 8(9), pp 4176-4188
Number of pages
13
Resource Type
Journal article
Language
English
Academic Unit
College of Medicine
Web of Science ID
WOS:000478606700011
Scopus ID
2-s2.0-85071059791
Other Identifier
991021860710104721
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