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Journal article
The Impact of Keeping Indoor Dining Closed on COVID-19 Rates Among Large US Cities A Quasi-Experimental Design
Epidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.), v 33(2), pp 200-208
01 Mar 2022
PMID: 34799474
Featured in Collection : UN Sustainable Development Goals @ Drexel
Abstract
Background: Indoordining isone of the potential drivers of COVID-19 transmission. We used the heterogeneity among state government preemption of city indoor dining closures to estimate the impact of keeping indoor dining closed on COVID-19 incidence.
Methods: We obtained case rates and city or state reopening dates from March to October 2020 in 11 US cities. We categorized cities as treatment cities that were allowed by the state to reopen but kept indoor dining closed or comparison cities that would have kept indoor dining closed but that were preempted by their state and had to reopen indoor dining. We modeled associations using a differencein-difference approach and an event study specification. We ran negative binomial regression models, with city-day as the unit of analysis, city population as an offset, and controlling for time-varying non-pharmaceutical interventions, as well as city and time fixed effects in sensitivity analysis and the event study specification.
Results: Keeping indoor dining closed was associated with a 55% (IRR = 0.45; 95% confidence intervals = 0.21, 0.99) decline in the new COVI D-19 case rate over 6 weeks compared with cities that reopened indoor dining, and these results were consistent after testing alternative modeling strategies.
Conclusions: Keeping indoor dining closed may be directly or indirectly associated with reductions in COVID-19 spread. Evidence of the relationship between indoor dining and COVID-19 case rates can inform policies to restrict indoor dining as a tailored strategy to reduce COVI D-19 incidence. See video abstract at, http://links.1ww. com/EDE/B902.
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Details
- Title
- The Impact of Keeping Indoor Dining Closed on COVID-19 Rates Among Large US Cities A Quasi-Experimental Design
- Creators
- Alina S. Schnake-Mahl - Drexel UniversityGabriella O'Leary - Drexel Univ, Urban Hlth Collaborat, Dornsife Sch Publ Hlth, 3600 Market St Suite 730, Philadelphia, PA 19104 USAPricila H. Mullachery - Drexel UniversityVaishnavi Vaidya - Drexel UniversityGabrielle Connor - Drexel Univ, Dept Hlth Management & Policy, Dornsife Sch Publ Hlth, Philadelphia, PA 19104 USAHeather Rollins - Drexel UniversityJennifer Kolker - Drexel UniversityAna V. Diez Roux - Drexel Univ, Urban Hlth Collaborat, Dornsife Sch Publ Hlth, 3600 Market St Suite 730, Philadelphia, PA 19104 USAUsama Bilal - Drexel University
- Publication Details
- Epidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.), v 33(2), pp 200-208
- Publisher
- Lippincott Williams & Wilkins
- Number of pages
- 9
- Grant note
- DP5OD26429 / NIH; United States Department of Health & Human Services; National Institutes of Health (NIH) - USA RWJF 77644; 78325 / Robert Wood Johnson Foundation; Robert Wood Johnson Foundation (RWJF)
- Resource Type
- Journal article
- Language
- English
- Academic Unit
- Urban Health Collaborative; Epidemiology and Biostatistics; Health Management and Policy
- Web of Science ID
- WOS:000749166000009
- Scopus ID
- 2-s2.0-85123969933
- Other Identifier
- 991019167928604721
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- Web of Science research areas
- Public, Environmental & Occupational Health