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The Relationship Between Disaggregated Country Risk Ratings and Stock Market Movements: An ARDL Approach
Journal article   Open access   Peer reviewed

The Relationship Between Disaggregated Country Risk Ratings and Stock Market Movements: An ARDL Approach

Ramazan Sari, Mehmet Uzunkaya and Shawkat Hammoudeh
Emerging markets finance & trade, v 49(1), pp 4-16
01 Jan 2013
url
https://doi.org/10.2753/REE1540-496X490101View
Published, Version of Record (VoR) Open

Abstract

Business Business & Economics Economics International Relations Social Sciences
We examine the relationships between disaggregated country risk ratings and stock market movements in Turkey, using the autoregressive distributed lag approach. The long- and short-run relationships between stock market movements and political risk, financial risk, and economic risk components of country risk ratings are investigated. The presence of a long-run relationship between Turkey's risk ratings and stock market movements is confirmed. In the long run, Turkey's three economic, financial, and political risk rating components are the forcing variables of stock market movements. However, in the short run only the reduced political and financial risk rating components have positive and significant impact on market movements. Policy implications are also discussed.

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33 citations in Scopus

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Collaboration types
Domestic collaboration
International collaboration
Web of Science research areas
Business
Economics
International Relations
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