Logo image
Volatility transmission across currencies and commodities with US uncertainty measures
Journal article   Peer reviewed

Volatility transmission across currencies and commodities with US uncertainty measures

Ahmed A. A. Khalifa, Edoardo Otranto, Shawkat Hammoudeh and Sanjay Ramchander
The North American journal of economics and finance, v 37
01 Jul 2016

Abstract

Business & Economics Business, Finance Economics Social Sciences
This paper uses the Multi-chain Markov Switching model (MCMS) conditioned on US uncertainty measures (VIX, VIX-oil and FSI) to examine the patterns of volatility transmission across the resource, major and safe haven currencies The results with and without the uncertainty variables generally identify three patterns of volatility transmission: interdependence, spillover and comovement. They reveal the dominance of interdependence over spillovers and comovements when the uncertainty variables are excluded, highlighting the significance of mutual reciprocity of individual market shocks over common shocks across the selected assets. Within portfolios of a two-variable framework (two variables representing two minimum variance portfolios (a la Markowitz), containing a weighted combination of the currencies and of the commodities, respectively), we find interdependence between the two portfolios with and without the VIX, a spillover from commodities to currencies in the case when the FSI is included and independence between the two portfolios in the case when the oil-VIX is accounted for. The implications of the results are important for the portfolio managers in selecting portfolios' components during high oil volatility periods. (C) 2016 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

Metrics

10 Record Views
23 citations in Scopus

Details

UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

This publication has contributed to the advancement of the following goals:

#8 Decent Work and Economic Growth

InCites Highlights

Data related to this publication, from InCites Benchmarking & Analytics tool:

Collaboration types
Domestic collaboration
International collaboration
Web of Science research areas
Business, Finance
Economics
Logo image