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Debiased Kernel Estimation of Spot Volatility in the Presence of Infinite Variation Jumps
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Debiased Kernel Estimation of Spot Volatility in the Presence of Infinite Variation Jumps

B. Cooper Boniece, José E Figueroa-López and Tianwei Zhou
ArXiv.org
16 Oct 2025
url
https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2510.14285View
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Abstract

Mathematics - Statistics Theory Statistics - Theory
Volatility estimation is a central problem in financial econometrics, but becomes particularly challenging when jump activity is high, a phenomenon observed empirically in highly traded financial securities. In this paper, we revisit the problem of spot volatility estimation for an Itô semimartingale with jumps of unbounded variation. We construct truncated kernel-based estimators and debiased variants that extend the efficiency frontier for spot volatility estimation in terms of the jump activity index$Y$ , raising the previous bound$Y<4/3$to$Y<20/11$ , thereby covering nearly the entire admissible range$Y<2$ . Compared with earlier work, our approach attains smaller asymptotic variances through the use of unbounded kernels, is simpler to implement, and has broader applicability under more flexible model assumptions. A comprehensive simulation study confirms that our procedures substantially outperform competing methods in finite samples.

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