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On the Effects of Sanctions on Trade and Welfare
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On the Effects of Sanctions on Trade and Welfare

Gabriel Felbermayr, Constantinos Syropoulos, Erdal Yalcin and Yoto Yotov
Policy File
01 Jun 2019
url
https://www.ifo.de/en/cesifo/publications/2019/working-paper/effects-sanctions-trade-and-welfare-new-evidence-based-structuralView
Published, Version of Record (VoR) Open Open Access (License Unspecified)

Abstract

Kiel Institute for World Economy
Using a new, global data base covering the years 1950 to 2015, we study the impact of sanctions on international trade and welfare. We make use of the rich dimensionality of our data and of the latest developments in the structural gravity literature. Starting with a broad evaluation by sanction type, we carefully investigate the case of Iran. Effects are significant but also widely heterogeneous across sanctioning countries. Moreover, they depend on the direction of trade. We also perform a counterfactual analysis which translates our partial equilibrium sanction estimates into heterogeneous but intuitive general equilibrium effects within the same framework.

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